The French
government has presented a draft law to introduce progressive utility pricing.
The law,
presented on September 5, covers water, electricity, and gas, and will be debated
through to November. The government hopes that it will be cost-neutral, but
this will depend upon the fine detail, and will be affected by how consumers
react to the new rules.
Although more specific information has not been released, the aim
is to have three distinct thresholds of tariffs, calculated by the
kilowatt-hour, that progressively increase with volume. The tariffs will be
adjusted for the number of people in the dwelling, the type of heating, the
geographical location, and the quality of insulation. In practice, a household
will therefore have an explicit amount of electricity that it can consume at a
lower tariff than it currently faces. Above the limit, a higher tariff will
apply in the successive two thresholds.
The aim of the price adjustment is twofold. Firstly, to reduce
energy consumption by giving consumers a clear price signal regarding higher
levels of use; and secondly, to provide assistance to the 4 million households
in France that are described as "energy-precarious," defined as those
who spend more than 10% of their income on energy costs.
Indeed, the Commission for Energy Regulation (CRE) has forecast
that energy expenses will rise by 30% between now and 2016, making the topic
one of intense political interest. The move to restrict energy prices follows a
2% cap in the rise of regulated electricity prices by the government this
summer.
At face value, the law appears to be positive with regards to
demand-side management, but the cost impact - and therefore the reception the law
will receive from the major power and gas utilities EDF and GDF Suez - is unclear. The government
expects the measure to be cost-neutral; however, this will clearly depend on
the details of the law and on households' response to the changes.
France's electricity and gas prices are already regulated, but
suppliers still need to be able to cover production and distribution costs. For
gas, in particular, the progressive pricing may pose a problem in light of the
recent decision by the CRE to revoke the government's price freeze on gas in
the fourth quarter of 2011, leaving the way clear for GDF Suez to retroactively
charge its customers the difference for the period.
Written by Yasmin Valji
Analyst, Datamonitor Energy & Utilities
Follow Yasmin on twitter: @YasminV_DMEN
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